NE at BUF(pk 46)...
buffalo has covered only one of the last 9 reg. season openers. should they turn out to be favored by gametime it just gets worse..
0-5 as home favs vs div since '00.
conversly putting ne at 7-3 ats as a rd dog vs thier div. during that same time span.
new eng has looked great in preseason,(which usually spells opening day disaster), and buffalo has held back.
should new eng come up favored by gametime the mojo swings heavy in favor of the bills who will remember an embarassing 38-7 pasteing they tasted last year in front of the home crowd.
since 1981 this series has produced 7 september games. the 1984 game saw new eng win and barely cover 21-17 giving 3.5.
since then buffalo has ripped off a string of 6 consecutive sept covers. in this series buffalo has seemed to be better early and new eng better late in the year.
4 of the last 7 series games have been decided in ot, with the point total of games played in buffalo averaging 28 total since 1996.
should this game remain a pick or ne favored..
BUFFALO 20-17.
BALT at PITT(5 39)...
nothing could be better than seeing pitt giving up anything more than a fg in the season opener. as stated before pitt is horrific in sea openers.
4-11 ats at home s'77
3-12 ats overall last 15 years
even better, if you break down the series rivalry, you find balt covering the last 4 in pitt, the road team covering 10 of the last 12, and balt a perfect 8-0 ats as a road dog vs thier division since '99.
with 5 points, ray lewis back, healthy and motivating his defense this just seems like stealing.
the road team has come away with the straight-up win in 7 of the last 9 match-ups. i don't see it changing now.
BALTIMORE 16-13
HOU at MIA(14 34.5)...
the oddsmakers can't raise this line any higher, anymore for fear of the public smelling out the impending rout moving into miami.
miami has only opened at home 7 of the last 26 regular season starts, going 5-1-1 ats. if miami is at home they tend to beat someone up, see last year.
miami has went 7-0-1 overall in thier last 8 openers and i look for no reason to stop it now.
miami at home, the jets already at 0-1, ne and buf facing eachother.
look for miami to do what they do, get out fast, take a share of the division lead and destroy a clearly inferior opponent at home in the opener.
MIAMI 40-13
MINN at GB(5 47)...
5 points is an awful lot of points for either nfc north front-runner to be giving eachother so early in the season.
maybe in the second game where first blood has been drawn and the stage has been set, but seeing that the average margin of victory in the last 5 games in gb between these teams has been 2 points it leads one to believe that the current pattern of the dog covering the last 7 straight continuing.
when you advance that one team has swept the reg. sea. series ats the last 5 years, gb's struggles in the metrodome and this game's current line; minnesota seems to be the way to fly. another gb/ minn game that comes down to the wire.
GREEN BAY 26-23
2 OTHER GAMES ..
not enough time for write-ups but,
JAX+4
a vet qb + points vs a young and overconfident team off preseason success.
KC-5.5
kc tends to step up and kill somebody in divisional home openers going 11-0-1 ats
GAME.
buffalo has covered only one of the last 9 reg. season openers. should they turn out to be favored by gametime it just gets worse..
0-5 as home favs vs div since '00.
conversly putting ne at 7-3 ats as a rd dog vs thier div. during that same time span.
new eng has looked great in preseason,(which usually spells opening day disaster), and buffalo has held back.
should new eng come up favored by gametime the mojo swings heavy in favor of the bills who will remember an embarassing 38-7 pasteing they tasted last year in front of the home crowd.
since 1981 this series has produced 7 september games. the 1984 game saw new eng win and barely cover 21-17 giving 3.5.
since then buffalo has ripped off a string of 6 consecutive sept covers. in this series buffalo has seemed to be better early and new eng better late in the year.
4 of the last 7 series games have been decided in ot, with the point total of games played in buffalo averaging 28 total since 1996.
should this game remain a pick or ne favored..
BUFFALO 20-17.
BALT at PITT(5 39)...
nothing could be better than seeing pitt giving up anything more than a fg in the season opener. as stated before pitt is horrific in sea openers.
4-11 ats at home s'77
3-12 ats overall last 15 years
even better, if you break down the series rivalry, you find balt covering the last 4 in pitt, the road team covering 10 of the last 12, and balt a perfect 8-0 ats as a road dog vs thier division since '99.
with 5 points, ray lewis back, healthy and motivating his defense this just seems like stealing.
the road team has come away with the straight-up win in 7 of the last 9 match-ups. i don't see it changing now.
BALTIMORE 16-13
HOU at MIA(14 34.5)...
the oddsmakers can't raise this line any higher, anymore for fear of the public smelling out the impending rout moving into miami.
miami has only opened at home 7 of the last 26 regular season starts, going 5-1-1 ats. if miami is at home they tend to beat someone up, see last year.
miami has went 7-0-1 overall in thier last 8 openers and i look for no reason to stop it now.
miami at home, the jets already at 0-1, ne and buf facing eachother.
look for miami to do what they do, get out fast, take a share of the division lead and destroy a clearly inferior opponent at home in the opener.
MIAMI 40-13
MINN at GB(5 47)...
5 points is an awful lot of points for either nfc north front-runner to be giving eachother so early in the season.
maybe in the second game where first blood has been drawn and the stage has been set, but seeing that the average margin of victory in the last 5 games in gb between these teams has been 2 points it leads one to believe that the current pattern of the dog covering the last 7 straight continuing.
when you advance that one team has swept the reg. sea. series ats the last 5 years, gb's struggles in the metrodome and this game's current line; minnesota seems to be the way to fly. another gb/ minn game that comes down to the wire.
GREEN BAY 26-23
2 OTHER GAMES ..
not enough time for write-ups but,
JAX+4
a vet qb + points vs a young and overconfident team off preseason success.
KC-5.5
kc tends to step up and kill somebody in divisional home openers going 11-0-1 ats
GAME.
